Byrd baths and other things
It’s Byrd bath time for Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill.” In reality, the GOP is really hoping that the Senate Parliamentarian throws them a lifeline and makes the more controversial provisions not eligible to be passed under reconciliation. I believe that the Senate GOP has the votes to pass whatever version of the bill emerges from the process. Majority Leader Thune would have to lose four votes for it to fail. I don’t see that happening. The real test, and in reality, this has always been the case, will be can it pass the House again? It’s back in the House that it faces its most perilous moment. In the House, two very different factions could sink the bill. You have the House Freedom Caucus; these are the most unrealistic conservatives. It took a lot of whipping to get these members on board to pass the legislation the first time around. And now that a much more trimmed-down version of the bill will be coming back, it’s questionable if Speaker Johnson can get to 218. In the end, ...